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5 s; n$ s6 @5 m$ b; s7 c. g比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
, Q: @, Z8 e/ m, m! d
) Z" b2 d, ]. W- G2 F: [5 q' z监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
4 R( Z Z. U3 J- i2 _
, K1 S& F& @) ^+ \( q9 _+ g! ]专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 " t3 U n! M* m& k. M
5 n. `% H7 g8 c$ e' Q
有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
( C" x7 @' {$ `
1 E0 ?# a, Q" P |5 L8 ^股等风险较高的投资。 * P( H F4 F# e3 U' I" v
: J v+ s+ I0 Y% _" _& S芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
; `' _# X0 Q; z
0 }6 z! p* o1 G* I4 {9 Q明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 ; o7 H: H8 f. n: |2 l( j, b4 c
* K v G2 K; I, V3 w. g
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
6 K% R u( [- V) {2 N( Q% X, P( w8 H
. Y7 K2 h7 V4 p. t# r7 p" o因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
7 c; X2 Q( p; Z- R( q7 G* C1 o
3 S, K N; {8 y0 e) d9 S9 \- R- x从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
6 L5 L6 y: y* P( b* k ?3 W; @ p" d
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
0 |/ K: v( J6 O$ }6 D+ V, E5 ^$ L2 v' ]' S" A% M$ k2 L6 F
仍有许多交易商可能买入。 7 Y# H% E. x3 b7 r/ @' z
4 Y( }" h/ g! _- }; M( E库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
7 T6 m2 A3 j, a- @( \) p7 W+ C, i/ l
推动力之一。
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F! m4 B" V _: D9 _02+ d8 ?( `0 U% @) m$ ]
" S; t$ Y2 y& l" K) m: r3 L w0 j
有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 / S- E5 v. J ?' @$ d
- N, ]% ~8 b+ s+ r h/ I v3 i
需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 ; j) Z5 A. \: P* R. b( |- B5 n9 ?
% k5 j; ^7 T1 u9 c
加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣3 h7 X: Z2 t0 U7 P1 g+ W; a
3 h: q: j7 M ?6 ?" t
的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” ) ]0 U. e. x, ?. k, P* K1 r1 y
6 Q5 c( b6 u$ T) I6 C* C
数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至0 p. h& Q( Y1 @* t( A7 |: {1 C2 P9 o
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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