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当前离线
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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；% ~+ s3 R, G: N. K9 `3 Y
尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；3 B( T" h7 O) U
比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；* m3 z% h' x& |- }( b- L0 o
1 d& n8 K W/ c- n9 M4 ]. I
根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；
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' _$ m9 {- V8 S7 F; ]5 X9 p/ R% L在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；
8 H4 i) p. L" }$ r% E1 g' F
6 T; w/ R4 [% v( j1 Y/ u下一步BTC上涨？
: V; f. {$ _4 k5 K& l3 T采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；
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: Y6 L2 p4 o8 K2 L0 }此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；
* z3 [; C- o _6 K; y
$ ?0 ~, M D: c: Q& Q2 N尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。5 D5 j5 m& W% Z( ~# F
3 i. j4 q$ s. j% {4 g: RBlockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；
# b: Y" I) ], v4 E9 L- p' H, ?8 `
& X6 ~9 A8 P7 J) g; j1 |“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：
; a1 W% B8 J; @4 u, g5 U3 r K3 O( O
另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；
: ~3 o4 S- Q" Y5 t4 `9 w
( d/ k; ?9 @% d自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；
. i! T, W; z) j) M" }$ z# F2 Y M3 ?& |/ ^& r# \7 q
有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。
$ m( g6 h; r/ }/ O4 [8 }2 q/ ]7 |0 D# u
在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,
& }& X8 E- W9 M% v
2 c) w( }% K% T6 K2 _“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；
0 F/ `( \- U% Y2 u/ Q" |9 y, q; v3 |4 l, H8 E: Q
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