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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；9 `' w$ {. K( k( U* X$ A) d
尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；
% {; u$ d& h& X: E$ h) S+ X6 l) ]比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；
7 M0 F# ^3 Y: u" _9 O8 Y" a9 K
8 [3 z5 p8 m; R根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；2 U7 a# |, S5 K( ?0 `9 o- A
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在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；
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8 V# q+ e# o$ v' R/ ^: G下一步BTC上涨？" J7 M+ z9 g% c' V, K: H
采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；
4 E8 S8 A {! U
& T0 s# i( f: c# F此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；- B5 x2 v9 A7 I9 k8 A
( Y' y, b, {2 f% ^尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。9 Z/ B% \, F4 q
2 e1 K5 u" M; |1 T6 f- NBlockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；
" |% `9 P1 U, O+ V) S3 Y( d& }# a- m! t0 M7 A7 m c4 q; c
“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：
; j/ L; W; C$ U$ {, U6 r" S8 o7 V2 V
另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；. g. h: I7 c% ?* @5 M) T
4 t z' G) b1 x5 I$ \0 `) Y
自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；# W- H6 b o# y6 g
- `' P& ]" A# j5 p0 C) w
有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。
7 q4 p: c8 H' M! ], p( j9 {& X$ j" G; [. t
在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,
8 p8 d6 Z" j: ]
+ a# t5 _ _/ ~' k8 r& K& q“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；2 N( k- `3 B) ?' i$ ^
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