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[lastpost] => 2798212 华尔街股市上涨,以太坊下跌——但ETH/BTC汇率却呈现出另一番景象。(转) 1768718097 jackcool1011
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BCA Research表示,投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑,而这可能对比特币构成利好。5 f$ V. ]* E$ F. |8 I4 o3 L
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该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出,目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产,并在股票投资中降低对美国
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市场的权重。原因在于,海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产,担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。
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与此同时,BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围,并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月,BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而
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; Y* g& k8 \: O& g“短期看空”比特币。
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+ M/ G4 T0 v1 U2 I( a) ?0 s “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下,比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道,“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来,活跃交易的比特币在整体已- A7 v& t, A; c m' Z7 _
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实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”
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, K( m% x4 @4 W! E2 x2 q0 D! [ 报告还指出,比特币作为“数字黄金”,正越来越像实物黄金那样表现,在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。% a) ~1 [) {! i: k9 J
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根据Coin Metrics的数据,自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期,现货黄金上涨了8%,8 }' B1 B& ?/ r% g8 C& U# c7 n$ F
$ |8 r" b4 H; ?* n/ l i而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。3 Z. i8 B9 W3 o. J: c: k
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BCA在报告中进一步指出:“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺,但关税政策的模糊性,已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外,“激烈的; \) n+ z: \3 E& ^' K$ _8 s9 W+ `
! p/ _8 T9 T* s0 [# `; O1 ]5 k利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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“尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛,但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号,才能恢复投资。”报告写道,“若无法及时提供清晰政策,0 q: V/ Q+ v+ L7 O$ p: r' O5 R& K
f( l3 y1 ^. Y
将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”6 N! G& C" e4 W! Z6 ~% _+ S
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