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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 / p/ i4 _4 b7 G
7 I% m$ Z- H9 i% i( V6 `! v9 I1 h监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
" N) v1 E. }) k _ [* {/ F( |5 E
7 V5 s3 r P) w! {) H7 l# d, q* P9 p专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
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! L) b2 L$ o# y1 M, u有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技' p; g% ~+ j9 d: i- g: \! s
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股等风险较高的投资。
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储/ [' Z: c/ x6 b8 O
% Z7 v$ `5 U: T' `# c# |# c$ V; @
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
" X4 m' J5 g) H U" `4 `" _* }2 e, O
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
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3 _% o+ H; {) x. j) l2 c1 \因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
3 K- }! v0 A- [$ l+ l$ ~$ D6 _3 H3 Y$ c* G* ], _* l% O: d4 I
从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
1 P) X* _" X% B# H ]6 G6 n4 g9 ?4 m7 H3 T: A4 J9 |% {. r+ ]
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此3 N: t5 ~6 H! z- u3 H) q$ G
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仍有许多交易商可能买入。 5 |. G' I0 k3 y; f& S
9 f2 n" m, `, h; J库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
* c7 B' b4 E8 E( d3 i) `( B
1 j5 |! e8 w4 d$ H8 s3 V9 ]推动力之一。 ; `1 L6 N( Q# [2 p1 v, ^; }
: h( Z5 \* T- S' Z6 U9 _02
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0 M$ ]9 H. V# R. v( C; ^" f有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 ( H$ E; R, g, t8 o
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 1 m4 Q' V+ ~6 Z1 S G" N) @: a
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣* d2 C; ]2 k s0 a& e- l/ F- F
8 o5 }( y0 q$ W3 }7 v! w ?
的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
3 m" S, F: u/ _& D3 J- D, H3 w
数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至3 `! ]. o6 n2 I2 O
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 / I( J8 t, S* K _, G
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