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[lastpost] => 2798999 特拉华州人寿与贝莱德合作，通过固定指数年金提供比特币投资机会。（转） 1768958597 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下跌，黄金触顶——但 Uptober 尚未结束（转）
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今年十月已经测试了比特币的[BTC]信徒。在通常被称为“Uptober”的月份过半时，BTC 发现自己处于陌生的境地，遭遇了历史上最糟糕的月中表现之一。
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3 z L. M+ @1 u3 t8 V/ [$ C `但你看不到的是，比特币收盘上涨的可能性仍然很大，罕见的BTC-黄金图表细节也表明可能已经触底。
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7 Z( \9 \$ k* S) @" R. {' KUptober 能否如期实现目标，还是说这将是它的终结？
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开局艰难，但历史看好牛市5 U- u( K0 L. U( |/ n" v7 j( S+ f
2025 年 10 月已经赢得了比特币十月份表现为有记录以来第二糟糕。对于通常看涨的月份来说，这是一个令人惊讶的转折。
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8 \! h# D2 c/ \' q$ h7 S- C6 ~3 f来源：Alphractal
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# [* R% u$ |$ z15年来，只有四个10月份收盘下跌。但鉴于比特币最终上涨的可能性高达73%，胜算仍然对比特币有利。# [3 A9 o. Y+ s
7 u. I! w4 G; i+ m# s3 f! a( O尽管开局不稳，但许多人相信本月结束前可能会转为看涨，保持这种势头。9 O) W9 b O7 M1 A
) A4 U1 E F3 c' @# s0 B事情变得有趣了
- B; u: G: n9 v, `BTC/黄金比率中罕见的信号表明形势可能很快就会发生转变。; n1 @$ }' G& [8 j7 j4 O
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来源：X
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根据最近的数据，该比率已达到迄今为止仅在主要市场底部出现的水平，而这些时刻往往是从黄金转向比特币的最佳时机。% K% h- l# E5 k: A0 c
6 W0 K+ S1 L* n9 Z6 p# k& GBTC/黄金震荡指标徘徊在-1.8左右，从历史上看，这与BTC开始跑赢黄金的周期低点相关。' L" c8 ~. q( N1 K! U U7 g2 o
' t: ^" |5 g" v/ H: W* I正如 Alphractal 首席执行官 Joao Wedson 所说，该图表“基本上是在大声疾呼”现在是“出售黄金、购买比特币的时候了”。( t; l5 g' \; ~, {/ `
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随着黄金价格处于高位，而比特币出现触底信号，风险回报方程现在可能更倾向于加密货币，而不是传统的避风港。
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& |+ y* _/ H, C7 u' |1 s空头在 10.7 万美元附近失去动力( [; v9 b6 Q; [1 r2 Q" w
经过几天的持续抛售，截至发稿时，比特币似乎稳定在 107,000 美元左右。# C7 x$ H: k2 b! s% Z
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来源：TradingView
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日线图显示看跌势头减弱，RSI 指标显示 BTC 处于超卖区域。与此同时，MACD 图柱趋于平缓；如果买盘活跃，则可能出现动能逆转。3 l8 A9 W& Q! U; w1 J& a! n
# L! S. j6 f0 ]3 ^然而，BTC 的交易价格仍然低于关键 EMA（20、50、100），整体趋势仍看跌。! M7 p1 `, ~/ I4 R" L; ~8 l) R
4 |" m) D+ `) W( q8 E7 w突破 110,000 美元的决定性举措可能确认复苏，但在此之前，有点乐观永远不会伤害任何人。9 x) D. ~( B5 R* i/ T! E8 n8 @
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十月才过一半别急着下结论，比特币这货向来爱搞幺蛾子 |
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这波跌得挺狠，但老韭菜都懂，Uptober还没完呢 |
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