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[lastpost] => 2813579 美国2月未季调CPI年率将于今晚20:30公布，预期2.4%，前值2.4%（转） 1773191881 jackcool1011
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6 B" Y5 ?2 y6 q) C) ?9 B3 v比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 - R8 a: A( T! g3 D% E3 P$ z d+ `
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 & p% c% F2 n. ]; O* `
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
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" o5 s: |. ^! l7 u6 `9 E股等风险较高的投资。
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# y* {7 l! l9 C! ?* k: ]芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
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- ]6 d8 y6 M' `( ]" f- S明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
9 K4 [6 D/ B0 K$ V q- O+ J1 T2 ], R. W: @# s9 E2 d
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动% r( i# E0 R' c- ?
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 0 j' a$ p0 J4 p# M
' L# \2 l, i: ?% f/ K; F更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此7 K& A- G2 `6 I9 `* n% S$ S, `4 }
0 `) i. ^% f# V仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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推动力之一。 8 v/ v0 b- d. z3 a
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02
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3 Y$ d/ C3 n% w7 b e. k. I8 w有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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- p6 {5 N8 K7 p+ M s的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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" w; y2 t' G7 j2 i) j% b数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至2 }2 t1 n& i, F* S
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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