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所谓小球(Small Ball)派,其思想就是:认为自己在FLOP之后比别人技术好,因此,尽可能多的争取看FLOP,特别是位置有利的情况下。进入FLOP之后,如果运气好逮着一个理想的FLOP, 因为对手对自己的牌无从猜测,往往能将其一举套牢解决之。更多的情况是FLOP没逮着,但对手也很可能错过了,那就利用靠后位置的有利地形蒙过来。为了掩护自己的实力,就要经常性地加注,小锅损失大锅补。小球派还有一个阴损的特点,就是为了陷害对手,自己大牌也深藏不露。比如他拿AA,对手加注,他就跟,很少再加注。Daniel 说他在FLOP之前极少再加注,这样的风险是让对手逮着好的FLOP,自己该赢的牌反而输了。但Daniel 认为,自己卓越的读牌能力和冷静的对局心态,可以使这种损失大为降低。而这样打的优点是对手对自己防不胜防,可能一口吃个胖子。两相权衡,利大于弊。”1 N" ^5 H6 D7 [8 L
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小球派我认为是一个迷信。有一种可能是DANIEL打牌已经登峰造极了,所以对他成立。我认为对于正常人来说,使用小球派与鱼无益。这主要建立在以下几点之上:
% }1 p @( }$ c; E$ i1.对手对自己范围的阅读* ^7 k3 Q7 J) t
首先,事实上对手对自己的牌无从猜测是一个迷信。你不停地跟注代表了你的跟注范围很宽,这在一定程度上的确让对手不容易知道你是什么,但同时,由于你范围很宽,这极大地降低了你范围里钢板的数量。这个道理很好理解,比如你跟注30%的牌,在AK5上,你的钢板数量(如AK AQ,AA,KK,55),比一个跟注5%的人要少很多。敌人可以拓宽自己的价值范围来抗衡你,因为你会有更多更差的一对手牌。对足够优秀的玩家来说,拓宽价值范围是很容易的一个调整,他们不会惧怕与你深入对抗,因为你的范围注定了你钢板数量稀少。再举一个例子,比如发678,由于你范围宽广,你甚至可能有59,45,别说9T这样的钢板了,但敌人不会畏惧用比如超对与你周旋,因为你有59,代表了你有69,79。更何况,平靠69这种牌本身就是输钱打法,落后敌人范围有点多。8 K3 c7 G9 e* t; x, M2 u$ p
2.筹码量与平靠的关系% }* q; n7 K$ a; d$ A
事实上,由于MTT经常是在有限的筹码量内游戏,所以说平靠才越来越差,因为你总得担心后面玩家挤压你,让你处于尴尬的境地,或者在FLOP上由于SPR太少而套池。举例来说,比如你有20BB,有人OPEN 2bb,你选择平靠,事实上你身后的所有拥有15-20BB的玩家都可以轻松挤压,他们挤压成功可以直接让自己的筹码增加25%,而你和OPEN 2bb的人都面对艰难抉择,因为你们的牌也不会总大,投不投硬币的选择就落到了你们头上(如同之前我在对ICM的回答文章中提到的撞车模型)。这在如今MTT里是一个超级常见的打法,你可以说你也会平靠AA,但跟上面一样,你敢说你只平靠AA KK吗?只平靠AA KK貌似不叫小球派了。哪怕说我们有40BB,但因为别人不一定也有40BB,MTT总会不停地面对各种中小筹码,因此平靠之后很容易面对挤压。
0 D$ m" _+ ~* J/ P9 l9 P3.价值! Z4 V- j2 s- v/ _* c8 w, [5 M
小球派用平靠AA KK来平衡平靠很多别的手牌,原则上讲是没问题的,但是我认为,在MTT中最容易价值也最容易打好的手牌,就是AA KK这样的钢板,你选择去平靠他们,等同于选择放弃了他们的价值。现代MTT中,20BB内,很多人会支付AA KK的价值,比如你3bet AA KK,不仅会有比你差的很多牌挤压,原RAISER也会用比你差的牌4betAI你,你失去了这个功能,就会面对很多风险,比如对手是99,你是AA,发QJ4,他真的还能付你钱吗?对手是AK,你是KK,发752,对手还能付你钱吗?相比对手是QJ,发J52而多付给你的钱,我认为是前面说的损失更大。因为德州扑克里,对子实在不好中。由于德州扑克里有一个真理,就是价值永远比BLUFF收的锅大(BLUFF需要对手FOLD给某一条街,于是你那个下注没有人跟,价值则不然),因此损失价值如同自断臂膀。' A8 b8 G$ i) o* T
4.哲学, K3 r& ~/ v5 k5 ?9 Y2 w
德州扑克有一个经典哲学,加注才能让人弃牌,跟注则不能,也就是说,你不停地跟注放弃了直接收锅的可能性。举例来说,我们拿到KT,敌人是QJ,我们想不想直接收锅?说不想的人应该都是疯了,我们只有在拿到AA,敌人是KK,或者说我们是AK,敌人是AQ时,才不想直接收锅,但这些牌反过来,我们也得输很多,其实最终都相抵了。很容易发现,有能力拿到KT时让QJ否得,比有能力拿到比如AQ时让AJ不否得而看FLOP,要重要得多。小球派与此哲学直接相悖。
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实际上,打OL,面对FISH,大部分人都在不断的用小球派的策略,不断的用轻度攻击那些FLOP之后技术不如我们的选手。和FISH打翻牌前我们要承担大量的波动,我们自信我们和FISH的实力差距就如丹尼尔和其他大部分较弱的选手一般。面对大量的不去思考RANGE,只看手里牌力,不思考底池赔率的玩家,频繁进入FLOP,用差不多的牌和差不多的位置,和他们频繁对抗是最有利可图的。因为交手次数多,FISH们犯的错误才更多,这是我对现金局里面小球派的运用的理解 |
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