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[虚拟币资讯]
冷风说币:eth唱主角 1700生死线能否守的住?2022.05.28
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市场消息* q. f' Z8 `1 U, G) z$ ^# ^+ o& B
28日凌晨,美股周五收高,其中:
v1 Q+ C! }2 V" G! H0 _) v5 @) E道指收涨575.77点,涨幅为1.76%;
$ v) r' A4 p. d! i a) e3 n纳指涨390.48点,涨幅为3.33%; / V `4 ]0 B8 L% n
标普500指数涨100.40点,涨幅为2.47%。
" X; D4 W. u# c4 h" w+ ~4 n三大股指本周均收获6%以上的涨幅。 2 ^9 w* h* H4 a% @
近日美股上涨势头明显,原因在于:
/ y) g) N7 L+ {4 B) ?( e/ C本周三美联储会议纪要释放出支持在接下来的几次会议上加息50个基点,并开始缩表计划,打消了市场对美联储加息75点的顾虑,且美联储最为青睐的4月通胀指标同比增长6.3%,虽然高于预期,但显示出通胀有降温迹象。 6 I! ~ b# `3 l& D9 v
但加密市场并未因为美股连续两天的强势上涨而跟随,反而因为以太坊下跌等原因,出现较大下跌。很明显,随着宏观经济变化,自机构大量进入加密货币市场以来,加密货币与美股之间的强关联性开始出现减弱松动迹象。
" W2 m! @7 h! k2 b+ N$ o; O对于当前宏观经济状态,美联储所有与会者都认为美国劳动力市场“极其紧张”,通胀“非常高”,且这些风险倾向于上行。 0 [8 Y/ t. v4 }5 u$ t! c# z
在宏观经济将面临更大压力的情况下,加密货币与美股强关联性减弱,或许预示着加密避险叙事将重新回归市场,如果加密货币再度成为投资者避险的重要选择,加密货币可能如19年那样重新上涨。 . q; h1 o! U% X$ H
如此看来,现在币价反复震荡探底,是否就是为下一步腾飞创造条件?我们拭目以待! 2 F& I7 o' r. L' h- \, m! Y' V9 K
行情分析% y4 Y/ m2 f+ J: L
BTC短线支撑26700-28000美元,短线压力29000-30000美元。由于币市近期频繁爆雷,内卷严重,大饼并没有联动美股反弹,而是小幅下压,整体偏空,操作上高空为主,现货暂时不要急于买入,等待企稳。对于未来的走势冷风已经多次说过了,先看26700美元能不能守住,若守不住则要观察24000-25000美元一带的支撑。
D4 C/ S7 C, n, _/ ?% |2 j7 d7 v' [. X, s8 i8 ~
ETH短线支撑1500-1700美元,短线压力1850-1950美元。以太坊的短线走势较大饼更为严峻,1700美元成为多方最后的防线,一旦失守中长线也会彻底转弱,下一个支撑区域会下移1300-1500美元。因此操作上高空为主,现货暂时不要急于补仓。主流币跟随大饼波动,按照大饼节奏操作。 # ?- j1 W( `" t6 o
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山寨币三个原则,大饼稳,板块热,龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点,一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。山寨币目前进入爆雷期,这是币市进入熊市后期的重要标志, 近期重点关注GMT的表现如何?现在多看少动,合约偏空为主。 来源:金色财经 |
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