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加密货币研究机构K33 Research称,一个来自比特币衍生品市场的信号表明,发生“逼空” —— 这可能引发这一全球最大数字资产大涨 —— 的风险逐渐上升。9 t/ i) r9 S4 _- u V* t
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这项指标就是比特币永续期货(有助于衡量投机者的看涨或看跌程度)的融资利率。K33表示,在8月20日,7天平均年化融资利率为2023年3月美国一串银行
+ I1 B4 \) d5 y4 V! O! C( y! n5 `" z. F
倒闭惊到投资者以来的最低水平,表明看跌押注盛行。
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q" H8 n2 q. A K33分析师Vetle Lunde和David Zimmerman在报告中写道,过去一周永续掉期融资利率均值为负,而未平仓合约急剧增加。“这意味着投资者大举做空,从结构
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上为逼空创造了一个成熟的环境。”
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9 P) W7 H/ f3 N% K' c 在逼空情景中,价格意外上涨会迫使短线交易员结清空头头寸,从而进一步推动反弹。比特币市场情绪近来一直很低迷:这种数字资产8月下跌并难以保持6 S0 B8 Y) y6 i1 L) t- c
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在60,000美元以上。与此同时,一项全球股票指数迈向纪录高位,黄金价格已经创下新高。
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$ G5 h- Y- X1 } K33表示,永续市场的名义未平仓合约在过去一周的增幅合29,000个比特币左右。8月20日的7天平均年化资金利率为-2.5%。Lunde和Zimmerman表示,5 }7 Q+ `" p; a- ^
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在融资利率为负的同时未平仓合约增长得如此迅猛,是相对罕见的。
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: E! V% ^" F/ n& {$ f) W v 永续期货由于没有固定的到期日而受到加密货币投机者的欢迎。在更传统的芝商所比特币期货市场,交易活动也持续攀升,这可能表明美国机构投资者/ \$ _. h& d9 H% A0 h6 |
3 S4 i& h5 Z3 U3 E4 K+ a/ t1 u' @重新参与到市场中了。
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这个倒也是可以去了解下看看了啊。  |
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