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由于挖矿难度降低和挖矿硬件预订量减少，BTC 挖矿哈希率（即网络中的总计算能力）将会减慢。3 {- i: ~& ]/ K6 e
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根据 CryptoQuant 的数据，1 月 27 日，挖矿难度降至 108.1 万亿，这是 2025 年的首次降低，而当前的哈希率约为每秒 832 艾哈希 (EH/s)。0 Q' b* Z7 m0 U9 C
n D4 ^; h. Z: nTheMinerMag 编制的数据还显示，过去七天，挖矿难度回撤了 2.12%。根据其预购数据，美国公司对专用集成电路 (ASIC) 和其他挖矿硬件的需求在 2024 年第三季度和第四季度有所下降。5 j, H/ s# w8 s3 K) W
' P8 ^% w$ x. k& V# ^4 Z+ N% P难度降低应该会给竞争激烈的行业中的公司带来喘息之机，这些公司在 2024 年和 2025 年初面临着历史最高难度率，同时挖矿的区块补贴也减少了。
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1 j* W. S( V! b2 y8 h7 N矿业公司实现业务多元化但仍举步维艰
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3 T, w$ Q0 I, J1 y4 M+ w2024 年，矿业公司将业务多元化，进军人工智能和高性能计算数据中心，以弥补减半后矿业利润的缺口。' W) X/ r6 k3 ]
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比特币矿工还采用了比特币企业财务策略，将更多的财务储备分配给 BTC，以获取长期价格升值。" ^. \; i6 N& c* G
% K+ k% i" @5 E; _% ^1 I f尽管多元化、对冲策略和 2024 年 11 月历史性的比特币价格反弹，但矿业股仍难以跟上 BTC 的涨势。# g, A0 p/ t2 L' _. M: T& a
$ `1 x/ S7 m+ _! B, MHashRate Index 的数据显示，25 家上市矿业公司中有 20 家在 2024 年底股价出现年初至今的下跌。 p" v& J0 L% H7 Q
; e4 x: D( J. F+ E" K+ s# C GDeepSeek R1 发布后，矿业股再次受到打击，DeepSeek R1 是一种在天朝构建的生成式人工智能模型，其性能与 OpenAI 产品相当，但训练成本仅为其一小部分。0 s6 C2 n; V4 M7 A2 u. a* B, q
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DeepSeek 颠覆了围绕人工智能开发的传统观念，包括训练和扩展人工智能的成本，据称 DeepSeek 团队使用有限的硬件完成了这项工作。1 ]4 I$ V1 F6 ~2 b5 l/ b
4 A- c% x8 M7 }5 i7 U这款训练成本仅为 600 万美元的天朝 AI 震惊了美国股市，因为一天之内，包括 Nvidia 在内的 AI 公司股东价值就蒸发了超过 1 万亿美元。3 Z i) C7 V* a2 R1 p0 [# f( q
. S9 G+ N( f2 b X g投资者抛售 AI 股票，担心 DeepSeek 对价值数十亿美元的数据中心业务和高端 AI 处理器的收入产生影响。
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