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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。6 @7 k: |+ [& E* l
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
9 V( H) s; }( A Q1 \+ g- ?8 U) g比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
# n/ q w( L; b# ^" @& ?6 Q1 z) F3 I* |0 F ?
尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。- B9 O% |9 y- f3 u5 `# n% g% |5 `5 `
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…. e& s3 u1 B! W! u6 E' T$ u
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。! z! U/ [; @2 A( g
* }# c, i1 k. D$ ^3 n但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。. z R% y% c2 Y3 l4 x4 R# a2 S
! ?; [# N4 R' z- L因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。
" [; d! ~( p% r/ |; w: f8 _1 k. l( W& f0 ~4 \
最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
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/ r" L# \3 d) n4 ]! |; a3 t这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 3 {* Z3 Q) y. t7 J7 I3 s3 q i
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然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。0 F5 w. @: x( g
5 z6 s7 o1 l, L3 g
估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
6 R6 |/ r" U9 b$ R7 m几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。5 ?: `! L. Q! k0 i- p5 c
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。
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* H0 }1 |! f3 ]! z相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。2 c1 J/ F' f4 w2 i
( }& S- G8 A$ @% r+ x此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。
$ d5 j& _* k( G& ~+ q, K6 @
# }. q# L/ I; P如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。3 a: p! o1 i$ |) R" P7 M* c
0 \' R& E9 s. ?结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。# t4 u" D5 L, I$ x
8 h6 `% R& t! p- h' wBTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？ R9 C& d4 ]" J# l3 e0 \: }, @
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
) s8 o" e8 p# R' U& \0 ^! |3 n0 p# Q% p' E0 B. m
但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。 1 ?& |- I- G; C) ^9 K& b& i
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