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[lastpost] => 2812326 Michael Saylor 的比特币密钥计划引发争议（转） 1772838181 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下跌，黄金触顶——但 Uptober 尚未结束（转）
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今年十月已经测试了比特币的[BTC]信徒。在通常被称为“Uptober”的月份过半时，BTC 发现自己处于陌生的境地，遭遇了历史上最糟糕的月中表现之一。
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但你看不到的是，比特币收盘上涨的可能性仍然很大，罕见的BTC-黄金图表细节也表明可能已经触底。
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# l2 K& `+ _0 i0 aUptober 能否如期实现目标，还是说这将是它的终结？
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% N& f j# |5 h( `. M8 T开局艰难，但历史看好牛市, m, Q+ D& T# i {
2025 年 10 月已经赢得了比特币十月份表现为有记录以来第二糟糕。对于通常看涨的月份来说，这是一个令人惊讶的转折。; u! P# W1 `8 u* b" I% S8 v3 X
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来源：Alphractal. Z$ A4 Y# x% A' @9 ^# k0 [
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15年来，只有四个10月份收盘下跌。但鉴于比特币最终上涨的可能性高达73%，胜算仍然对比特币有利。
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1 ?' P; _: p+ i# {: r( t% T! |尽管开局不稳，但许多人相信本月结束前可能会转为看涨，保持这种势头。2 v8 V: N. E0 A& k3 c* L) q
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事情变得有趣了
" C/ ~- R9 j5 H; t n& F' EBTC/黄金比率中罕见的信号表明形势可能很快就会发生转变。5 }5 ?# d r0 R8 k/ J
) k$ b+ b2 y/ ~* ?+ V* k" }来源：X
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7 a; J1 r. v, L# Z$ f根据最近的数据，该比率已达到迄今为止仅在主要市场底部出现的水平，而这些时刻往往是从黄金转向比特币的最佳时机。
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BTC/黄金震荡指标徘徊在-1.8左右，从历史上看，这与BTC开始跑赢黄金的周期低点相关。
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+ D! L3 y1 ]$ x2 O% f6 Z6 e正如 Alphractal 首席执行官 Joao Wedson 所说，该图表“基本上是在大声疾呼”现在是“出售黄金、购买比特币的时候了”。
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' Y: E5 G" \# y. Q0 ^$ ^ f/ l7 P随着黄金价格处于高位，而比特币出现触底信号，风险回报方程现在可能更倾向于加密货币，而不是传统的避风港。
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空头在 10.7 万美元附近失去动力) R( d5 s* _% k- ^! j% [3 b2 \( W& R
经过几天的持续抛售，截至发稿时，比特币似乎稳定在 107,000 美元左右。6 k: u: [' W7 B/ ~+ E
y7 c/ C3 P! R% ^ ~5 J1 n来源：TradingView
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日线图显示看跌势头减弱，RSI 指标显示 BTC 处于超卖区域。与此同时，MACD 图柱趋于平缓；如果买盘活跃，则可能出现动能逆转。$ z9 w4 R8 x* i+ h7 D
9 E+ [ E T2 q2 o1 @然而，BTC 的交易价格仍然低于关键 EMA（20、50、100），整体趋势仍看跌。. ^* p+ y- p& L; H y
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突破 110,000 美元的决定性举措可能确认复苏，但在此之前，有点乐观永远不会伤害任何人。$ f4 W8 u2 `6 ^' P6 ^6 b- S2 X3 h
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十月才过一半别急着下结论，比特币这货向来爱搞幺蛾子 |
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这波跌得挺狠，但老韭菜都懂，Uptober还没完呢 |
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