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[lastpost] => 2806217 从长期来看 以太坊这个价位一定套不住（转） 1770915480 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
Solana——评估SOL股价跌至49美元的可能性（转）
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加密货币市场一度充满乐观情绪，如今却已步入低迷期，Solana (SOL) 也未能幸免于难。截至发稿时，受整体市场调整的影响，Solana 自 2 月初以来已下跌超过 20%。
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' R" L$ C* P! g9 S在日线、周线和月线时间框架上突破宏观头肩形态后，价格在 2 月初跌破了包括 70 美元在内的关键支撑位。' D( p1 H0 L; v4 O1 k
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Solana 跌破 79-81 美元的支撑位后，股价很快跌至 69 美元左右。
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如果这一价位无法守住，下一个需求区间将在 49 美元至 53 美元之间。虽然整体市场崩盘加剧了此次下跌，但交易员和投资者都在提出一个非常重要的问题——即使跌破 100 美元，暴跌是否会进一步加剧？答案是肯定的，未来可能还有进一步下跌的空间。
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大量ETF资金流出导致净亏损6 v1 ?1 C3 [" O& q: r: ~$ f/ b
Solana的颓势不仅限于价格下跌。过去一周，其ETF资金也遭遇了巨额流出，总计流出67,632枚SOL代币（约合568万美元）。事实上，2月6日当天，超过100万美元的Solana代币被套现，这已经是第七次发生此类资金流出事件。4 L4 p7 h% f e- \& y
8 d7 L/ v# v0 r3 h8 A/ L; M此轮对以索拉纳为重点的ETF的持续抛售，表明市场信心普遍下降。市场已发出明确信号，投资者正在抛售这些ETF。索拉纳 [SOL]。因此，这种趋势可能不会很快逆转。
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5 {% b+ B. Q% N9 `' @% rSolana 的风险加权资产 (RWA) 市值超过 10 亿美元！
- W: i; b$ Z2 F根据Token Terminal的数据，截至2026年2月7日，Solana的RWA市值突破10亿美元——这表明尽管市场面临挑战，代币化资产仍在增长。这一里程碑或许可以证明……推进采用而且基本面也很强劲。
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如果这种势头能够保持下去，将有助于进一步的创新和提升市场信心。Solana的下一步将是维持增长并吸引更多机构支持。
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市场能否消化资金流出，还是会进一步压低Solana的价格？5 M6 U! k# c0 a$ }- @2 B2 Z8 r! p& X
随着ETF资金流出不断增加，Solana股价跌至新低，问题依然存在——市场能否消化这些损失并企稳？或者，这是否预示着更深层次的下跌即将开始？除非Solana能够重回118美元至145美元的关键水平，否则其复苏的可能性不大。
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2 h6 F4 L0 L! S# k机构资金流入是扭转局面的必要条件，但如果这些资金无法到位，下行风险将过于显著，不容忽视。目前，市场并未显示出强劲的吸收迹象，反而徘徊在进一步崩盘的边缘。
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t3 ?" h. i g+ D
评估的水平如何，这才是最重要的 |
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感觉跌到49块也不是没可能，这平台最近状态确实有点悬 |
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这波跌得真让人头皮发麻，49美金不是没可能，心态得稳住啊 |
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